The High Probability of a Low Probability Event

In his book, Triggers, Marshall Goldsmith talks about how when we want to change ourselves, there is a statistically proven high probability that a low probability event will happen and derail our plans.

We’ve had ours for this year.

While taking sunrise pictures in Acadia National Park, my favorite boy toy slipped on some loose gravel and fell backwards, destroying his camera and lens, and tearing his tricep.

20150907-21 Blog
The button right below the start / stop is totally gone. Canon put that little glass slide on the back to keep glass fragments from getting all over while they determined the camera was not fixable.

Thankfully, the camera and his backpack of lenses broke his fall. But it hasn’t been fun.

20150823i-1 Blog
We’re puzzled why the bruising stopped at the edge of his short sleeved T-shirt. Obviously it did something to the blood flow, but we have no idea what.

Apparently tearing your tricep is fairly uncommon. The bicep is more likely to be the one damaged. The day of his surgery, he was questioned by the nurses and anesthesiologists how he did it. He was a minor celebrity until they turned on the joy juice and then he was just out of it.

So we’ve been having fun! I’ve been working a lot of hours at my contract job – it’s tax season! – and having to do his chores in addition to mine, plus plan ahead what he might need that he can’t do on his own. The dogs, of course, can’t act up enough while he is unable to help care for them. It’s like having three little kids all the time.

20150912-1 Blog
He wasn’t too happy with his Frankenstein arm. The cast doesn’t go all the way around, apparently to help the swelling not cause further damage.

The cast came off after a week and for now, he’s still healing before starting therapy. Thankfully the pain became manageable quickly, so he’s feeling good most days until the evening when his arm has had enough. There was no permanent damage – yippee! – but it will take a while to get back to normal again.

20150920i-5 Blog
Out for lunch at the Cheesecake Factory! He’s feeling good.

The hours on my job should cut back after this. I’m visiting my grandson and his parents right now and will have pictures to post after I get them off my iPhone and into my computer.

Here’s one though, showing a future Georgia Tech football player after eating all his oatmeal for his grandmother!

What a big smile for his grandmother!
What a big smile for his grandmother! Notice he’s kept those blue eyes.

So life has been busy and full, with things to be grateful for. Once again, I have to be very careful how I prioritize my time, but that’s how it goes some months.

Baby Family Gratitude

dogear6 View All →

I am a backyard adventurer, philosopher and observer, recording my life in journals and photographs. Visit my blog at

44 Comments Leave a comment

  1. Wow! You’ve been having a year like ours, except that yours seems to be turning round for the better. :D I’m so sorry for the hubbies arm. That looks so painful! But I am also ecstatic that you are working again. Hooray for you, Nancy!

    • It’s been a year alright. It has been turning around, but this surgery has really set back a number of things. Thanks for the note – always good to hear from you!

  2. Thank goodness he wasn’t hurt even more seriously. Good for you for stepping up to shoulder so much of the responsibility. Remember, take care of the caretaker – it’s just as hard on you as on him!! Your grandson’s adorable :-)

    • I think if his backpack and camera hadn’t hit the stone first, the outcome would have been far worse. As it was, one of the lenses in his bag had to be rebuilt by Canon. It’s hard to be a caretaker, although he’s helped as much as he can. He’s getting better, which is good, but this is going to be a long haul.

  3. hello dogear6 its dennis the vizsla dog hay wow that is wun seeryus brooze!!! i am glad he wuz not injurd enny wurse than that!!! that poor kamra has seen better days too at leest he has a noo wun now!!! ok bye

  4. Oh what a bad movement… But good to know that he is healing well and I am wishing him a speed recovery …
    The baby is so beautiful… Congratulations… Sending best wishes. Aquileana 🐉☀️

  5. Oh wow. Sorry that happened! So glad that there is no permanent damage! Praying for a quick healing!

  6. So sorry to hear about the fall and all the pain it caused. But happy that there will be full recovery. I can imagine how the dogs react to him not being able to do the “usual stuff” with and for them. Your grandson clearly has football player potential. No wait, they tend to sprain their ankles and the whole leg turns black and blue, and that’s not fun…happened to my son in HS varsity football.

    • It used to be kids got hurt in sports – now they REALLY get hurt. Sorry to hear about your son – hopefully he bounced back quickly. It’s harder to recover when you’re our age!

  7. He still pulls off that Hungarian Work Horse image though! Happy and healing thoughts for him.

    That little fella won’t be sitting atop tables too much longer. I do see football player in him.

    Looking forward to more pictures. And those low probability happenings can just stay away from us!

  8. Oh my goodness!! I knew he took a spill, but did not realize the extent of his injury. Bless his heart! Glad he’s on the mend. That grandson just keeps getting cuter! Safe travels home!

    • Thanks Debbie! Yeah, it was really bad. I’ve been so busy and overwhelmed that I hadn’t put much out there about it. My boss looked at me this week though and said, “you’re supposed to be part-time. We’re fine. Start taking time off.” So I hope to start catching up on more of my personal life soon.

    • It was a pretty bad accident – I was happy he wasn’t hurt worse! The grandson is cute until he decides he’s unhappy. Then he’s just LOUD.

  9. Good grief! I am so glad that it wasn’t worse but boy, that looks bad! How true that a small thing can become a big thing and derail so much of our lives. Sending prayers for a quick recovery and back to normal (what ever that is) soon.
    And that grandboy of yours, what a cutie patootie! K

  10. Wow, that’s some bruising! What your hubby will do to get some blog time! LOL Glad all is going well in the healing process. Glad your job demands will ease up in a few days.

    • Thanks Patti. This week my boss reminded that I’m supposed to be part-time and they’re doing better now, so feel free to start working part-time again. My sister comes in town this weekend, but I hope after that to have some downtime. Today I finished my job application and drug screen, so it’s in process to make this permanent (part-time). That’ll be great!

  11. Thank goodness for backpacks and hefty cameras – need to protect the quarterback. Why is it always the right arm? Whew, glad he’s doing better. (Nothing worse than when they are in pain.)
    Hope you’ve gotten some fresh energy from your contract work – a little tickle for the brain cells and not too much agony! Good to see a post from you

    • Although he’s left-handed, he is ambidextrous to an extent. He was trying to throw a ball to shut the dogs up in the yard and he had to do it left-handed. He threw like a girl! He was so mad.

      The hours should start cutting back after this and I hope to get back to having more of a life again. Plus the hubby is doing better and able to start helping with some stuff around the house again. Not all of it, but enough to make a difference.

  12. You poor Darlings…wondered why we hadn’t heard from you for so long. Can’t believe how much your gorgeous grandson has grown. Hope things progress smoothly and the pressure eases off…much love Anna xx

    • Thanks Anna! Between the muse taking off on me, then becoming so busy and now the accident, I’ve been pretty overwhelmed. I kept up for a while with reading the blogs and even putting some comments out there, but the last few weeks I finally gave up on that too. I enjoyed very much reading about your trip to New York and seeing all the sights there.

      I hope to start getting back to regularly blogging – at least once a week – but we’ll see. I still have to make it through this week before I can take a breath.


  13. I was hesitant to click the Like button. I clicked because your grandson is so cute and who could not click Like after seeing that smile?? :D I’m so glad your husband wasn’t hurt worse. Falls are scary stuff, and that bruising is pretty scary too!. Glad he’s on the mend, and that you’ll soon be getting a break.

    • I know what you mean. I wish sometimes there was a “phooey” button. Between work, the fall, and the muse taking off on me, I’m just not spending any time on the computer once I’m home, even on the weekends. After this week, it should lighten up and I hope to get back to some sort of a schedule. I kept up with the blogs for a while, but even that went. I have to go and check what I missed over in your world!

    • I know. When I first made the comment that his camera gave his life for him, my husband thought I was joking. But I pointed out that if he’d slammed head first into the rocks, he could have been killed or had some brain damage. The camera and backpack hitting first definitely made a difference in him being able to walk out of there and get back to the car.

    • I agree – it could have been much worse. I’m glad my husband was able to get himself up and back to the car. I wasn’t with him and had no way to help him if he couldn’t help himself.

  14. My goodness! That looks awfully painful. I am very glad that your husband didn’t suffer any permanent damage, but I’m sure it must have been a terrifying experience nonetheless. Never mind the camera: objects can be replaced; people can’t. And I totally agree with Darlene Foster: your grandson is a real cutie!

    • That’s what we keep telling ourselves when we get discouraged. This could have been much worse. Thankfully it wasn’t.

      And yeah, he is cute. I think the girls will all like him when he gets older!

    • Thanks Darlene! Yes, it could have been so much worse. The camera and backpack took the brunt of it which was good.

      And the grandson is a cutie, but when he’s unhappy he makes sure everyone knows! His mother was the same way and I tease her about that (only when she’s had enough sleep).

  15. I’m so glad he wasn’t hurt any worse than he was. Scary. I’m not wondering if his shirt did act like a tourniquet of some sort when his arm swelled. I get shivers just thinking about it. Guess it is time for a new camera.

    • I think you’re right about the shirt grabbing and acting like a tourniquet. It probably twisted around his arm when he went down.

      As for the new camera – he had that ordered and received BEFORE the surgery. I couldn’t believe it. Wait, yes, I could. And he upgraded to the latest Canon Mark 5. I told him it would have been cheaper to replace the camera outright then be ringing up the deductible on our medical!

%d bloggers like this: